Quarterly Insolvency Report 2012 Q1 – Insolvencies near second peak

Quarterly_Insolvency_Report_2012_Q1  CMRC Quarterly Insolvency Report (2012 Q1) and Forecast. 2012  Q1 indicates a further increase incorporate insolvencies in line with negative GDP growth. Winding up orders and other indicators of distress suggest that the rise will peak in 2012 and decline in the later period. Retail, Restaurants, Hotels and other consumer-facing sectors are the hardest [...]

Archive for the ‘news’ Category

Double Dip: Inflation to Reduce debt ?

Wednesday, June 30th, 2010

Inflate the economy to reduce debt. Is this the new policy ?

Yorkshire Post article July 2009 (Nick Wilson) Yorkshire Post Article 2009

Corporate Insolvencies: New Risk and Insolvency Report

Tuesday, February 9th, 2010

The Risk and Insolvency Report provides monthly trends on company insolvencies in the UK by sector and by region. CMRC forecasting models have proven highly accurate in predicting the impact of the credit crisis on the real economy. Our latest analysis shows that company insolvencies dropped in December 2009 but may start to rise again in 2010. 

The latest monthly trends are available here:Risk and Insolvency Report_without forecasts_0210.  The full report with our 12 months forecasts is available in our secure area

 

 Our July 2009 report is here:  RISK AND INSOLVENCY REPORT-JULY09

SME Risk and Macro-Economic Conditions

Wednesday, December 9th, 2009

New Working Paper available in January 2010.

Insolvency Risk of Private Companies and Macro-Conditions: Discrete Time Hazard Models  (with A Altanlar)
Paper Models the Insolvency Risk of Unlisted Companies using financial and non-financial data and macro-dependent baseline hazard

Managing Tax Debt

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

The National Audit Office have published a report on HMRC Management of Tax Debt. Professor Wilson played an important role in the compilation of this report. NAO Study

“Professor Wilson’s work helped us to put the Department’s performance in a comparative context. His report was used to cross check findings from our own literature reviews, international comparisons and interviews with internal and external stakeholders. It also provided us with a valuable insight into how other organisations measure performance and provided context for our performance data analysis.”  HMRC: Management of Tax Debt (2008) ISBN 9780102954395

 

(See the section ‘Publications: Policy’ for related studies)

Research and Presentations

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

CMRC in collabroation with CMBOR (Nottingham) is currently analysing the relationship between corporate debt levels and insolvency. In particular we are tracking the performance of private equity backed companies and a large sample of MBO’s during the period 1995-2008.

Nick Wilson gave the keynote speech at the International Finance and Risk Conference at the University of Economics and Finance, Bratislava, Noevmber 2009

Nick Wilson, Mike Wright and Ali Altanlar presneted at the London Business School Conference, ‘Private Equity at the Cross Roads’, July 2009

Nick Wilson presented a paper on Corporate Risk and the CCR-i Conference, London in October

New Research on Governance, Ownership and Insolvency Risk

Friday, November 13th, 2009

Abstract   A Research paper shortly to be released by CMRC shows that having a balance of skills and gender on the Board of companies significantly reduces insolvency risk. The research analyses data on over 900,000 companies including 17,500 insolvencies in 2008.

Credit 100

Friday, November 13th, 2009

Professor Wilson was included in the Credit Today Magazine ‘Credit 100′. A list of the 100 people that have had “the greatest impact on the credit industry” (Credit Today, December 2008)

Knowledge Transfer Partnersip Award

Thursday, December 11th, 2008

CMRC’s work with Leeds City Credit Union was awarded a prize for ‘The Best Application of Management and Social Science’ in the KTP National Awards in 2007. The Prize was awarded by the Economic and Social Science Research Council (ESRC)